China's "Pearl Harbour" moment?

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neverfail
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China's "Pearl Harbour" moment?

Post by neverfail » Mon Sep 14, 2020 5:35 am

https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/nation ... 55v4s.html

In November 2019, former US secretary of state Henry Kissinger warned that “the US and China were in the ‘foothills of a cold war’ and could be headed toward a conflict worse than World War I”. Since then, trade tensions between the US and China have only intensified.

As of today, following a US government directive, Taiwan-based TSMC, the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturer will cease supplying China-based Huawei, the world’s largest telecommunications equipment maker.

Semi-conductors are the brains of mobile and telecommunication systems and this US action exposes China’s vulnerabilities.

Cash is almost non-existent in China. Consumer payments for taxis, takeaway noodles or electricity accounts are made with mobile devices. Even Chinese street beggars take mobile payments with QR codes.
Hence the comparison with the Roosevelt Administration cutting off supplies of US oil to Japan in 1940. In mid-1941 he then teamed up with Britain's Winston Churchill to cut off oil supplies to Japan from all other external sources.
Taiwanese TSMC controls more than 50 per cent of the global semiconductor market and has produced advanced semiconductors for Intel, AMD, Apple and Qualcomm. From Monday, TSMC ceases supplying Huawei consistent US government directives.
Japan responded with the bombing of Pearl Harbour: to rid the Pacific basin of the only naval force that could interdict Japanese forces as they moved south to seize the oilfields of the Dutch East Indies (Indonesia). The swift invasions of (British) Malaya-Singapore and (American) Philippines which lay along the route to Indonesia could almost be regarded as unaviodable "roadkill".

As I see it this may well give the PRC the final reason it needs to invade and seize Taiwan. Their opportunity may come a matter of months from now if the coming US Presidental election ends in a disputed result - resulting in political paralysis possibly for months or even years after. Via the news media we have already witnessed sufficient violence on the streets of American cities to know that tensions are high and civil war is a distinct possibility.

Such an unwelcome turn of events as the implosion of the USA would have worldwide ramifacations.

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Sertorio
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Re: China's "Pearl Harbour" moment?

Post by Sertorio » Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:12 am

In 1941 Japan didn't have alternative sources of supply for essential raw materials. Today China has alternative domestic suppliers of chips, even if some of them are not as performing as imports. Which will be solved within five years at most. No need for a Pearl Harbour reaction. Which doesn't mean China will not invade and take over Taiwan. It will if the US keeps interfering in China's sovereign sphere.

neverfail
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Re: China's "Pearl Harbour" moment?

Post by neverfail » Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:18 pm

Sertorio wrote:
Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:12 am
In 1941 Japan didn't have alternative sources of supply for essential raw materials. Today China has alternative domestic suppliers of chips, even if some of them are not as performing as imports. Which will be solved within five years at most. No need for a Pearl Harbour reaction. Which doesn't mean China will not invade and take over Taiwan. It will if the US keeps interfering in China's sovereign sphere.
If the PRC would CEASE interfering in America's sovereign sphere - like hacking into American computers to steal both state owned classified material and patented commercial assets - it might establish the moral basis to legetimately demand that of the USA.

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Sertorio
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Re: China's "Pearl Harbour" moment?

Post by Sertorio » Tue Sep 15, 2020 1:02 am

neverfail wrote:
Mon Sep 14, 2020 4:18 pm
Sertorio wrote:
Mon Sep 14, 2020 6:12 am
In 1941 Japan didn't have alternative sources of supply for essential raw materials. Today China has alternative domestic suppliers of chips, even if some of them are not as performing as imports. Which will be solved within five years at most. No need for a Pearl Harbour reaction. Which doesn't mean China will not invade and take over Taiwan. It will if the US keeps interfering in China's sovereign sphere.
If the PRC would CEASE interfering in America's sovereign sphere - like hacking into American computers to steal both state owned classified material and patented commercial assets - it might establish the moral basis to legetimately demand that of the USA.
American interference is a fact. China's interference has never been proven. One is a factual culprit, the other is an alleged culprit. But for you - with the support of your cherished common law - it is the same thing...

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